Thursday, January 28, 2010

Storm Clouds Over Software, USA  

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I believe we are at an Inflection Point in how we will utilize computing technology in the next few years. An inflection point is that point in which there is a significant change in direction. The speed of this change is still in question and the precise direction it will take is also somewhat unclear. But the fact that a change is looming close cannot be disputed. The change I am referring to is the emergence of Cloud Computing to take over the enterprise computing applications which drive every business and the proof of this prediction is in cloud computing's quiet ability to begin taking away market share from the dominant Microsoft office applications of Word, Excel and Outlook.

Could this be possible? In 1985, I remember the so called dumb terminals where we completed word processing on a remote mainframe computer with an orange lettered screen as the only interface. The emergence of the IBM PC and the client server revolution was the inflection point at that time which freed us from that old main frame computer.

Can it be that 25 years later we are close to giving up the desktop applications and moving back to that dumb terminal strategy? Where does this leave the Dell PC and software vendors such as Microsoft?

You may not agree, but I think this change is real. Stay tuned for more dialog on this issue and please feel free to disagree and comment below.

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